Monday, March 25, 2019

Ensemble Methods for Causal Prediction

Great to see ensemble learning methods (i.e., forecast combination) moving into areas of econometrics beyond time series / macro-econometrics, where they have thrived ever since Bates and Granger (1969), generating a massive and vibrant literature.  (For a recent contribution, including historical references, see Diebold and Shin, 2019.)  In particular, the micro-econometric / panel / causal literature is coming on board.  See for example this new and interesting paper by Susan Athey et al.

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