Sunday, March 21, 2021

The Latest in Probability Forecast Evaluation

VERY nice and useful paper in the Proceedings of the National Academy by Tilmann Gneiting et al.: "Stable reliability diagrams for probabilistic classifiers", https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.2016191118.  Supplement: https://www.pnas.org/content/pnas/suppl/2021/02/17/2016191118.DCSupplemental/pnas.2016191118.sapp.pdf.

(Significantly-revised version of "Evaluating probabilistic classifiers: Reliability diagrams and score decompositions revisited“, https://arxiv.org/pdf/2008.03033.pdf.)


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